On April 25th the Red Sox fired manager Alex Cora because the team started out the season playing just awful. Highlighted with a square is the 25th and at that point they had a 39% chance of making the playoffs. They got a not unexpected “new coach” bounce and, then, you can see what the odds have done since.
Maybe next year…
Red Sox chances of making the Wild Card round in the 2026 playoffs: 11.2%